We bring together four different perspectives on the Forward Curve:
Fair Value
Trend
Behaviour
Execution
We connect the order book, prices, fundamentals, and behavioral analytics—from monthly trends down to minute-by-minute details.
Our best-practice framework helps you and your teams create more informed questions to find the right answers.
Purpose driven tools
Each tool is designed with a specific purpose and context. Choose the tools that best align with your strategy or click through our reports to explore the analysis in depth.
Our ecosystem of approaches, logics, documentation and tools accelerates learning, eases the demands on senior trading resources, and ensures continuity even with team turnover.
Identify Fair Value
Using a European gas Stacking model
Fair Value collects the supply and demand components of the market and assesses the clearing price to balance in the market.
If there is a difference between the Fair Value and the Market Price, then there may be an opportunity to take positions on outright prices or on spreads for different periods/contracts. Monthly granularity.
Track Trends
The Forward Curve is an ongoing election
Changes in price are based on a voting system where each player evaluates new information and casts a buy, sell, or hold vote. This defines the journey of the forward curve. We identify a consensus approach that allows tagging the past and identify the present state of the market. Daily granularity
See Behavioural Patterns
Human choices drive markets
Trader behaviour when interpreting information drives markets. This makes choice important and sometimes the same choices are made repeatedly. This generates the scope for systematic trading. We create tools to explore these patterns that are easy to interpret across trading roles. Hourly granularity.
Improve Execution
We filter the noise in execution analytics
Regardless of how fair value is interpreted, technical analysis signals are used, or systematic behaviour is observed – at the end of day they all end up in execution. We have structured data to facilitate analysis and analytics at minute-level granularity.
Why Vega?
Our team
Founded by the senior management behind Eclipse Energy Group, we have built a team with experience from trading, risk management, analysis, data science and machine learning with a culture of ‘constant learning’.
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Our mission is to create tools that provide you with actionable insight; from idea to execution.
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With customers from Denmark, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Switzerland and the UK including producers, utilities, trading companies and banks, large and small, we have experience in providing value for a variety of customers.